Germany Top Military Official Warns: Russia May Be Able to Attack NATO in 5-8 Years
Germany's top military official, Lieutenant General Carsten Breuer, issued a stark warning during a visit to Poland. He stated that Russia, despite setbacks in Ukraine, could be ready to militarily challenge NATO within five to eight years.
Breuer's assessment hinges on Russia's ability to rebuild its forces after suffering losses in the ongoing war. "Based on our analysis, Russia will have reconstituted its own forces to a degree that an attack against NATO soil could be possible," he cautioned.
While emphasizing the hypothetical nature of the threat, Breuer stressed the need for preparedness. "I am not saying it will take place but that it could be possible," he clarified.
Russia's actions in Ukraine have severely strained relations with the West. Breuer's comments echo concerns that the conflict could escalate further. However, Russia has consistently denied any intention to attack NATO.
The situation is particularly concerning for nations bordering Russia, including Norway, Finland, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, and Poland. These six European countries are all NATO members.
The war in Ukraine has showcased a brutal mix of traditional trench warfare and advanced drone technology. While Russia currently controls a significant portion of Ukrainian territory, including Crimea, the conflict remains unresolved.
Breuer pointed out Russia's ongoing production of military equipment, suggesting it may not be fully deployed in Ukraine. "We see that Russia is producing a lot of war-fighting material and it is not putting all of this material to the frontline," he observed. "So in 2029 we have to be ready."
Germany's military chief emphasized the long-term threat, stating, "What we see is a threat in five to eight years."
Both Ukraine and Russia boast sizable militaries. Ukrainian forces are estimated at roughly 800,000, while Russia recently authorized an increase of 170,000 troops, bringing their total to 1.3 million. Russia also significantly outspends Ukraine in military expenditures, allocating $109 billion in 2024 compared to Ukraine's projected $43.8 billion.