China Aims to Overturn Sri Lanka's Ban on Research Vessel

Defense News ,Srilanka :-  Sri Lanka's recent move to enforce a one-year suspension on foreign research vessels operating within its Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) from January 3rd, 2024, is garnering international attention, particularly due to its potential impact on China's activities in the Indian Ocean.

This decision is seen by many as a setback for China, whose research vessels have been increasingly active in the region. The ban is being interpreted as a response to concerns expressed by India about Chinese research operations in the area. Sri Lanka reportedly communicated this decision to India on December 31st, 2023, following a request from Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi in July 2023 to prioritize India's security interests.

The denial of docking permission to the Chinese research vessel "Xiang Yang Hong 3" in December 2023 is considered a tangible outcome of this diplomatic exchange.

The geopolitical landscape in the Indian Ocean is evolving, raising questions about potential shifts in regional power balances. This moratorium highlights the intricate dynamics at play in the region.

China has responded to the moratorium with measured statements, expressing a commitment to maintaining positive relations. However, there are underlying concerns for Beijing:

1. Scientific Setback: The ban hampers China's research vessels' ability to conduct oceanographic and marine mapping surveys, limiting data collection crucial for both scientific and strategic purposes.

2. Regional Influence: The move could signal Sri Lanka's alignment with India's sphere of influence, potentially diminishing China's strategic presence in the Indian Ocean.

3. Economic Implications: If interpreted as an anti-China stance, the ban may raise concerns about the stability of existing and future China-backed projects in Sri Lanka.

In response, China may downplay the significance of the moratorium publicly while engaging in behind-the-scenes negotiations to reverse the decision or secure exemptions in the future. Beijing might also view this as an opportunity to strengthen ties with other nations in the Indian Ocean to mitigate potential losses from strained relations with Sri Lanka. The long-term consequences for China-Sri Lanka relations remain uncertain, adding complexity to the evolving geopolitical landscape in the Indian Ocean.